Copa del Rey · Feb 12, 2026 20:00
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
4 - 0
FT
FC Barcelona
PWR 68
PWR 68
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Atlético Madrid to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)
WRONG 4-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
63%
63%
Team Comparison
52Attack86
77Defense49
Goals/G
1.72.5
Conc/G
0.81.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atlético Madrid
LWDLW
STABLE
FC Barcelona
WWLWW
STABLE
Key Players
Atlético Madrid
Antoine Griezma…
1G
Alexander Sørlo…
2G
Pablo Barrios
1A
Nicolás González
Julián Alvarez
FC Barcelona
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa del Rey
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Atlético Madridvs
1.11
FC BarcelonaGoal Probability
Atlético Ma…
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
FC Barcelona
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Atlético Ma…+1
Gap#4
FC Barcelona
WR 60% 28 pts
WR 69% 28 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madr… | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 28 |
| FC Barcelona | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 28 |
Atlético Madrid
10.0%
| Feb 08 | Atlétic… v Real Be… | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Atlétic… v Real Be… | 0-5 |
| Jan 31 | Atlétic… v Levante | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Atlétic… v Bodø/Gl… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Atlétic… v Mallorca | 3-0 |
| Jan 21 | Atlétic… v Galatas… | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Atlétic… v Alavés | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | Atlétic… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Jan 08 | Atlétic… v Real Ma… | 1-2 |
| Jan 04 | Atlétic… v Real So… | 1-1 |
FC Barcelona
16.0%
| Feb 07 | FC Barc… v Mallorca | 3-0 |
| Feb 03 | FC Barc… v Albacete | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | FC Barc… v Guayaqu… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | FC Barc… v Elche | 1-3 |
| Jan 28 | FC Barc… v FC Cope… | 4-1 |
| Jan 25 | FC Barc… v Oviedo | 3-0 |
| Jan 21 | FC Barc… v Slavia … | 2-4 |
| Jan 18 | FC Barc… v Real So… | 2-1 |
| Jan 15 | FC Barc… v Santand… | 0-2 |
| Jan 11 | FC Barc… v Real Ma… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 02, 2025 | FC Barcelona | 3-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Apr 02, 2025 | Atlético Madr… | 0-1 | FC Barcelona |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Atlético Madr… | 2-4 | FC Barcelona |
| Feb 25, 2025 | FC Barcelona | 4-4 | Atlético Madr… |
| Dec 21, 2024 | FC Barcelona | 1-2 | Atlético Madr… |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Atlético Madr… | 0-3 | FC Barcelona |
| Dec 03, 2023 | FC Barcelona | 1-0 | Atlético Madr… |
| Apr 23, 2023 | FC Barcelona | 1-0 | Atlético Madr… |
| Jan 08, 2023 | Atlético Madr… | 0-1 | FC Barcelona |
| Feb 06, 2022 | FC Barcelona | 4-2 | Atlético Madr… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Barcelona in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.