Coupe de France · Mar 04, 2026 20:00
Olympique de Marseille
PWR 48
Toulouse
PWR 39
Olympique de Marseille
PWR 48
2 - 2
FT
Toulouse
PWR 39
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Olympique de Marseille to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.29x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.47x
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
69Attack47
67Defense66
Goals/G
2.31.6
Conc/G
1.11.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Olympique de M…
WLDLW
STABLE
Toulouse
LDLLW
STABLE
Key Players
Olympique de M…
Mason Greenwood
1G1A
Amine Gouiri
1G1A
Timothy Weah
1A
Emerson Palmieri
Pierre-Emile Hø…
Toulouse
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Coupe de France
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Olympique de M…vs
0.91
ToulouseGoal Probability
Olympique d…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Toulouse
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Olympique d…+8
Gap#12
Toulouse
WR 56% 18 pts
WR 38% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique de … | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| Toulouse | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
Olympique de M…
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Olympiq… v Olympiq… | 3-2 |
| Feb 20 | Olympiq… v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Olympiq… v Strasbo… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Olympiq… v Paris S… | 5-0 |
| Feb 03 | Olympiq… v Rennes … | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Olympiq… v Paris FC | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Olympiq… v Club Br… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Olympiq… v Lens | 3-1 |
| Jan 21 | Olympiq… v Liverpo… | 0-3 |
| Jan 17 | Olympiq… v Angers | 2-5 |
Toulouse
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Toulouse v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Toulouse v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Toulouse v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Toulouse v Angers | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Toulouse v Amiens | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Toulouse v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Toulouse v Stade B… | 0-2 |
| Jan 17 | Toulouse v Nice | 5-1 |
| Jan 10 | Toulouse v Angers | 1-1 |
| Jan 02 | Toulouse v Lens | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Olympique de … | 2-2 | Toulouse |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Olympique de … | 3-2 | Toulouse |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Toulouse | 1-3 | Olympique de … |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Toulouse | 1-3 | Olympique de … |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Toulouse | 2-2 | Olympique de … |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Toulouse | 2-2 | Olympique de … |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Olympique de … | 0-0 | Toulouse |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Toulouse | 2-3 | Olympique de … |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Olympique de … | 6-1 | Toulouse |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
50%
Market
61%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Toulouse struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.