KNVB Beker · Mar 03, 2026 19:00
NEC Nijmegen
PWR 75
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 75
NEC Nijmegen
PWR 75
3 - 2
FT
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 75
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
NEC Nijmegen Win
Score
3-4
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
CORRECT 3-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.47x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.34x
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
74%
74%
Team Comparison
86Attack99
57Defense59
Goals/G
2.52.8
Conc/G
1.21.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
NEC Nijmegen
LDDLW
STABLE
PSV Eindhoven
WLLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
NEC Nijmegenvs
1.01
PSV EindhovenGoal Probability
NEC Nijmegen
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
PSV Eindhov…
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)4-1 (6%)2-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 74% | 27% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 5.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 6.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
NEC Nijmegen-2
Gap#1
PSV Eindhov…
WR 85% 33 pts
WR 67% 36 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 33 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 51 | 21 | 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
8.0%
| Feb 28 | NEC Nij… v Fortuna… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | NEC Nij… v Ajax | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | NEC Nij… v Sparta … | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | NEC Nij… v Utrecht | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | NEC Nij… v Heracles | 4-1 |
| Feb 04 | NEC Nij… v FC Vole… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | NEC Nij… v AZ Alkm… | 1-3 |
| Jan 24 | NEC Nij… v PEC Zwo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 20 | NEC Nij… v De Tref… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | NEC Nij… v NAC Bre… | 3-4 |
PSV Eindhoven
12.0%
| Feb 28 | PSV Ein… v Heracles | 1-3 |
| Feb 27 | PSV Ein… v Waalwijk | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | PSV Ein… v Cambuur | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | PSV Ein… v Almere … | 3-2 |
| Feb 21 | PSV Ein… v Heerenv… | 3-1 |
| Feb 13 | PSV Ein… v FC Vole… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | PSV Ein… v Den Bos… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | PSV Ein… v Groning… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | PSV Ein… v VVV Ven… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | PSV Ein… v Heerenv… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 13, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-5 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Feb 01, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-3 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Sep 14, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 2-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Sep 14, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 2-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Mar 30, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Mar 30, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Sep 16, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven | 4-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Apr 01, 2023 | NEC Nijmegen | 2-4 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Oct 30, 2022 | PSV Eindhoven | 3-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| May 11, 2022 | PSV Eindhoven | 3-2 | NEC Nijmegen |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
PSV Eindhoven in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.