Iraqi League · Mar 12, 2026 20:15
Al-Karma
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Gharraf
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
PRO: Al-Karma to win (73% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
73%
TierPRO
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (11%)2-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.29x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.22x
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al-Karma
LLWDD
DOWN
Gharraf
LLWWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Iraqi League
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Al-Karmavs
0.93
GharrafGoal Probability
Al-Karma
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Gharraf
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Al-Karma+5
Gap#10
Gharraf
WR 58% 38 pts
WR 30% 29 pts
Al-Karma
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Al-Karma v Erbil | 2-3 |
| Mar 01 | Al-Karma v Al Mina… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Al-Karma v Naft Ma… | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Al-Karma v Diyala | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Al-Karma v Al-Tala… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Al-Karma v Al Karkh | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Al-Karma v Newroz | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Al-Karma v Baghdad | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Al-Karma v Mosul | 1-3 |
| Jan 13 | Al-Karma v Al-Qasi… | 1-0 |
Gharraf
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Gharraf v Al Quwa… | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Gharraf v Zakho | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Gharraf v Duhok | 4-3 |
| Feb 13 | Gharraf v Al Mina… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Gharraf v Al Shor… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Gharraf v Al-Tala… | 3-1 |
| Jan 26 | Gharraf v Baghdad | 3-2 |
| Jan 22 | Gharraf v Diyala | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Gharraf v Al Najaf | 0-3 |
| Jan 14 | Gharraf v Naft | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 31, 2025 | Gharraf | 0-1 | Al-Karma |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
70%
Market
57%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Gharraf struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.