Iraqi League · Mar 12, 2026 18:00
Baghdad
PWR 35
Baghdad
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Newroz
PWR 35
PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (17%)0-2 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (11%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.77x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.5x
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Baghdad
LLLDD
DOWN
Newroz
LWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Iraqi League
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Baghdadvs
1.48
NewrozGoal Probability
Baghdad
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Newroz
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Baghdad-6
Gap#12
Newroz
WR 27% 19 pts
WR 40% 25 pts
Baghdad
4.0%
| Mar 06 | Baghdad v Naft Ma… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Baghdad v Naft | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Baghdad v Al Kahr… | 5-0 |
| Feb 06 | Baghdad v Al Mina… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Baghdad v Erbil | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Baghdad v Gharraf | 3-2 |
| Jan 22 | Baghdad v Al-Karma | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Baghdad v Al Karkh | 1-1 |
| Jan 13 | Baghdad v Al Quwa… | 0-2 |
| Jan 09 | Baghdad v Zakho | 2-2 |
Newroz
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Newroz v Al Kahr… | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Newroz v Duhok | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Newroz v Al Najaf | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Newroz v Al Quwa… | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Newroz v Mosul | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Newroz v Diyala | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Newroz v Al-Karma | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Newroz v Al Karkh | 3-0 |
| Jan 18 | Newroz v Al-Qasi… | 0-3 |
| Jan 14 | Newroz v Al-Tala… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 22, 2025 | Newroz | 0-1 | Baghdad |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
39%
Standings
38%
Market
35%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Newroz in strong form (3W in last 5)
Baghdad struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.