Ligue 1 · Mar 07, 2026 16:00
Kaloum Star
PWR 50
Horoya
PWR 64
Kaloum Star
PWR 50
0 - 1
FT
Horoya
PWR 64
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Horoya Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (26%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (5%)
CORRECT 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
37Attack53
70Defense80
Goals/G
1.11.5
Conc/G
0.90.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kaloum Star
WLWDW
STABLE
Horoya
WWWDW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.6%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Kaloum Starvs
0.20
HoroyaGoal Probability
Kaloum Star
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Horoya
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (24%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Kaloum Star+1
Gap#3
Horoya
WR 43% 91 pts
WR 60% 79 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaloum Star | 58 | 25 | 16 | 17 | 61 | 50 | 91 |
| Horoya | 40 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 60 | 23 | 79 |
Kaloum Star
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Kaloum … v ASFAG | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Kaloum … v Hafia | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Kaloum … v CI Kams… | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | Kaloum … v Wakirya | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Kaloum … v CI Kams… | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Kaloum … v Renaiss… | 4-0 |
| Dec 26 | Kaloum … v Afrique… | 2-1 |
| Dec 20 | Kaloum … v Loubha … | 0-0 |
| Dec 15 | Kaloum … v ASM San… | 0-0 |
| Dec 09 | Kaloum … v Ashanti… | 0-0 |
Horoya
18.0%
| Feb 28 | Horoya v Renaiss… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Horoya v Loubha … | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Horoya v ASM San… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Horoya v CI Kams… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Horoya v Afrique… | 3-1 |
| Jan 04 | Horoya v CI Kams… | 1-0 |
| Dec 25 | Horoya v Wakirya | 0-0 |
| Dec 19 | Horoya v Hafia | 1-2 |
| Dec 13 | Horoya v Ashanti… | 3-1 |
| Dec 09 | Horoya v Milo | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 23, 2025 | Horoya | 0-1 | Kaloum Star |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Horoya | 1-0 | Kaloum Star |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kaloum Star | 0-0 | Horoya |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Kaloum Star | 1-1 | Horoya |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Horoya | 0-1 | Kaloum Star |
| Jun 01, 2023 | Kaloum Star | 0-2 | Horoya |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Horoya | 1-1 | Kaloum Star |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Horoya | 1-0 | Kaloum Star |
| Dec 26, 2021 | Kaloum Star | 0-2 | Horoya |
| Jun 22, 2021 | Kaloum Star | 2-0 | Horoya |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kaloum Star in strong form (3W in last 5)
Horoya in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.