Ligue 1 · Mar 06, 2026 16:00
ASFAG
PWR 49
Renaissance
PWR 33
ASFAG
PWR 49
4 - 0
FT
Renaissance
PWR 33
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ASFAG Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (11%)1-0 (6%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (2%)
CORRECT 4-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
43Attack22
59Defense52
Goals/G
1.20.6
Conc/G
1.21.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
ASFAG
LWLWD
STABLE
Renaissance
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.88
ASFAGvs
0.37
RenaissanceGoal Probability
ASFAG
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Renaissance
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (17%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (12%)4-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
ASFAG+1
Gap#11
Renaissance
WR 44% 33 pts
WR 22% 33 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASFAG | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 27 | 33 |
| Renaissance | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 49 | 33 |
ASFAG
10.0%
| Feb 28 | ASFAG v Kaloum … | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | ASFAG v ASM San… | 1-2 |
| Feb 16 | ASFAG v Wakirya | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | ASFAG v Afrique… | 4-2 |
| Feb 05 | ASFAG v CI Kams… | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | ASFAG v Hafia | 0-1 |
| Dec 24 | ASFAG v CI Kams… | 1-0 |
| Dec 18 | ASFAG v Ashanti… | 0-2 |
| Dec 15 | ASFAG v Milo | 1-0 |
| Dec 11 | ASFAG v Karfamo… | 1-0 |
Renaissance
2.0%
| Feb 28 | Renaiss… v Horoya | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Renaiss… v Afrique… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Renaiss… v Ashanti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Renaiss… v Karfamo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Renaiss… v Milo | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Renaiss… v Kaloum … | 4-0 |
| Dec 27 | Renaiss… v Loubha … | 1-0 |
| Dec 19 | Renaiss… v Wakirya | 1-0 |
| Dec 14 | Renaiss… v Hafia | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | Renaiss… v CI Kams… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 23, 2025 | Renaissance | 1-2 | ASFAG |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
30%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Renaissance struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.