Premier League Cup · Mar 05, 2026 19:00
Burnley U21
PWR 41
PWR 41
5 - 2
FT
Colchester United U21
PWR 21
PWR 21
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.1/g, Away concedes 1.7/g, expected 3.9 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Burnley U21 to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)3-2 (5%)2-0 (5%)2-2 (4%)
WRONG 5-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
82%
Home/Draw
1.29x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.7x
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 72%
Over 3.5
90%
90%
Team Comparison
60Attack38
58Defense22
Goals/G
2.01.3
Conc/G
1.42.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Burnley U21
LLDDW
DOWN
Colchester Uni…
LLWWD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
Youth team excluded: U21
Expected Goals (xG)
3.48
Burnley U21vs
1.35
Colchester Uni…Goal Probability
Burnley U21
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Colchester …
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)4-3 (4%)5-2 (4%)3-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 6.5 | 50% | 51% | - |
League Position
#1
Burnley U21+10
Gap#11
Colchester …
WR 53% 34 pts
WR 55% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley U21 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 39 | 34 |
| Colchester Un… | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 20 |
Burnley U21
8.0%
| Mar 04 | Burnley… v Stockpo… | 3-1 |
| Feb 27 | Burnley… v Fulham … | 3-1 |
| Feb 23 | Burnley… v Derby C… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Burnley… v Everton… | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | Burnley… v Brentfo… | 3-2 |
| Jan 30 | Burnley… v Reading… | 1-3 |
| Jan 23 | Burnley… v Arsenal… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Burnley… v Tottenh… | 1-1 |
| Jan 09 | Burnley… v Manches… | 8-1 |
| Dec 19 | Burnley… v Queens … | 0-1 |
Colchester Uni…
10.0%
| Feb 28 | Colches… v Brentfo… | 4-1 |
| Feb 24 | Colches… v Cardiff… | 4-1 |
| Feb 13 | Colches… v Watford… | 5-2 |
| Feb 03 | Colches… v Swansea… | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Colches… v Queens … | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Colches… v AFC Bou… | 2-1 |
| Jan 09 | Colches… v Millwal… | 0-6 |
| Dec 22 | Colches… v Sunderl… | 4-2 |
| Dec 15 | Colches… v Bromley… | 2-3 |
| Dec 02 | Colches… v Norwich… | 3-4 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Apr 11, 2025 | Colchester Un… | 0-3 | Burnley U21 |
| Sep 01, 2023 | Colchester Un… | 1-4 | Burnley U21 |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Colchester Un… | 1-2 | Burnley U21 |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
64%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.