AFC Challenge League · Mar 05, 2026 12:00
Phnom Penh Crown
PWR 50
Svay Rieng
PWR 67
Phnom Penh Crown
PWR 50
1 - 4
FT
Svay Rieng
PWR 67
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 1.5/g, expected 4.2 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
PRO: Svay Rieng to win (73% confidence)
Score
1-2
Confidence
73%
TierPRO
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)2-2 (6%)
WRONG 1-4
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.9x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.52x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
60%
60%
Team Comparison
70Attack100
30Defense48
Goals/G
2.03.0
Conc/G
2.01.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Phnom Penh Cro…
DWWWW
STABLE
Svay Rieng
LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Phnom Penh Cro…vs
1.46
Svay RiengGoal Probability
Phnom Penh …
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Svay Rieng
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-1 (6%)2-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 60% | 41% | - |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Phnom Penh …+2
Gap#6
Svay Rieng
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phnom Penh Cr… | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| Svay Rieng | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Phnom Penh Cro…
18.0%
| Feb 25 | Phnom P… v Dangkor… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Phnom P… v Visakha | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Phnom P… v NagaWor… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Phnom P… v Dangkor… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Phnom P… v Kirivon… | 3-1 |
| Jan 18 | Phnom P… v Svay Ri… | 2-3 |
| Jan 10 | Phnom P… v Kompong… | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Phnom P… v Life Si… | 3-0 |
| Dec 27 | Phnom P… v Nationa… | 3-2 |
| Dec 21 | Phnom P… v Boeung … | 1-0 |
Svay Rieng
16.0%
| Feb 25 | Svay Ri… v Kirivon… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Svay Ri… v Kirivon… | 0-5 |
| Feb 08 | Svay Ri… v Dangkor… | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Svay Ri… v Home Un… | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Svay Ri… v Nationa… | 6-3 |
| Jan 18 | Svay Ri… v Phnom P… | 2-3 |
| Jan 10 | Svay Ri… v Life Si… | 1-4 |
| Jan 04 | Svay Ri… v Visakha | 1-2 |
| Dec 27 | Svay Ri… v Boeung … | 2-1 |
| Dec 20 | Svay Ri… v Angkor … | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 18, 2026 | Phnom Penh Cr… | 2-3 | Svay Rieng |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Svay Rieng | 2-3 | Phnom Penh Cr… |
| May 25, 2025 | Svay Rieng | 1-2 | Phnom Penh Cr… |
| May 18, 2025 | Svay Rieng | 0-5 | Phnom Penh Cr… |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Phnom Penh Cr… | 0-2 | Svay Rieng |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Svay Rieng | 3-1 | Phnom Penh Cr… |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Phnom Penh Cr… | 4-3 | Svay Rieng |
| May 12, 2024 | Phnom Penh Cr… | 1-1 | Svay Rieng |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Svay Rieng | 3-2 | Phnom Penh Cr… |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Phnom Penh Cr… | 0-0 | Svay Rieng |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
36%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Phnom Penh Crown in strong form (4W in last 5)
Svay Rieng in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.