Premier League · Mar 15, 2026 15:00
Alay
PWR 35
Ozgon
PWR 35
PWR 35
VS
Alay
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ozgon Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (27%)0-1 (22%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
14%
Under 2.5
86%
86%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ozgon
WWLWL
STABLE
Alay
DWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Ozgonvs
0.82
AlayGoal Probability
Ozgon
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Alay
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)1-0 (10%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Ozgon+1
Gap#3
Alay
WR 0% 6 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
Ozgon
12.0%
| Mar 06 | Ozgon v Kara-Ba… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Ozgon v Neftchi | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Ozgon v Bishkek… | 1-2 |
| Nov 03 | Ozgon v Kara-Ba… | 0-4 |
| Oct 30 | Ozgon v Alay | 0-1 |
| Oct 20 | Ozgon v Muras U… | 1-1 |
| Oct 17 | Ozgon v Aris | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Ozgon v Ilbirs | 1-3 |
| Sep 28 | Ozgon v Dordoi … | 1-0 |
| Sep 21 | Ozgon v Neftchi | 3-2 |
Alay
16.0%
| Mar 13 | Alay v Kara-Ba… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Alay v Neftchi | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Alay v OshMU A… | 3-0 |
| Mar 03 | Alay v Talant | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Alay v Ilbirs | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Alay v Neftchi | 4-0 |
| Nov 08 | Alay v Muras U… | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Alay v OshMU A… | 2-2 |
| Nov 04 | Alay v Neftchi | 1-1 |
| Oct 30 | Alay v Ozgon | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 30, 2025 | Ozgon | 0-1 | Alay |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Ozgon | 1-0 | Alay |
| May 16, 2025 | Alay | 1-2 | Ozgon |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Alay | 1-0 | Ozgon |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
37%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ozgon in strong form (3W in last 5)
Alay in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.