NM Cupen · Mar 09, 2026 18:00
Aalesund
PWR 54
Egersund
PWR 48
Aalesund
PWR 54
2 - 3
FT
Egersund
PWR 48
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Egersund Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (7%)
CORRECT 2-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
87%
87%
Team Comparison
58Attack66
53Defense30
Goals/G
1.71.9
Conc/G
1.32.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aalesund
DDWLL
STABLE
Egersund
DDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Aalesundvs
1.30
EgersundGoal Probability
Aalesund
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Egersund
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-3 (5%)3-3 (5%)2-4 (5%)2-2 (5%)3-4 (4%)3-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 60% | 41% | - |
| 6.5 | 44% | 57% | - |
League Position
#5
Aalesund+4
Gap#9
Egersund
WR 50% 19 pts
WR 50% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 19 |
| Egersund | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
Aalesund
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Aalesund v Stockho… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Aalesund v Hammarb… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Aalesund v Brattvå… | 6-1 |
| Feb 27 | Aalesund v Molde | 4-1 |
| Feb 25 | Aalesund v HamKam | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Aalesund v Karlberg | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Aalesund v Fredrik… | 2-3 |
| Feb 17 | Aalesund v Lillest… | 7-1 |
| Feb 15 | Aalesund v Stocksu… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Aalesund v Sirius | 3-2 |
Egersund
12.0%
| Feb 27 | Egersund v Sandnes… | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Egersund v Kristia… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Egersund v Vindbja… | 4-1 |
| Nov 26 | Egersund v Aalesund | 3-1 |
| Nov 22 | Egersund v Rahimo | 3-2 |
| Nov 15 | Egersund v Lyn | 3-2 |
| Nov 08 | Egersund v Mjöndal… | 1-2 |
| Nov 01 | Egersund v Hødd | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Egersund v Sogndal | 0-1 |
| Oct 22 | Egersund v Moss | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 26, 2025 | Aalesund | 3-1 | Egersund |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Aalesund | 2-3 | Egersund |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Egersund | 2-2 | Aalesund |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Aalesund | 2-3 | Egersund |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Egersund | 3-1 | Aalesund |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.