NM Cupen · Mar 08, 2026 17:00
Fredrikstad
PWR 69
Sarpsborg 08
PWR 38
Fredrikstad
PWR 69
2 - 1
FT
Sarpsborg 08
PWR 38
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fredrikstad Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
60Attack60
79Defense23
Goals/G
1.71.7
Conc/G
0.62.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fredrikstad
WWDWW
STABLE
Sarpsborg 08
LWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Fredrikstadvs
0.61
Sarpsborg 08Goal Probability
Fredrikstad
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Sarpsborg 08
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)2-0 (6%)2-2 (6%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Fredrikstad+9
Gap#11
Sarpsborg 08
WR 70% 24 pts
WR 30% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikstad | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
| Sarpsborg 08 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 11 |
Fredrikstad
18.0%
| Feb 28 | Fredrik… v ODD Bal… | 4-1 |
| Feb 22 | Fredrik… v Aalesund | 2-3 |
| Feb 17 | Fredrik… v KFUM Os… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Fredrik… v IF Elfs… | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Fredrik… v Jerv | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | Fredrik… v Lillest… | 2-2 |
| Nov 30 | Fredrik… v Bodø/Gl… | 5-0 |
| Nov 23 | Fredrik… v Viking | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | Fredrik… v Sarpsbo… | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Fredrik… v Kristia… | 3-1 |
Sarpsborg 08
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Sarpsbo… v Viking | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Sarpsbo… v Moss | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | Sarpsbo… v Sirius | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Sarpsbo… v Östers … | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Sarpsbo… v Aris | 4-1 |
| Dec 06 | Sarpsbo… v Lillest… | 3-1 |
| Nov 30 | Sarpsbo… v Molde | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Sarpsbo… v Bryne | 0-3 |
| Nov 08 | Sarpsbo… v Fredrik… | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Sarpsbo… v Tromsø … | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 | 0-2 | Fredrikstad |
| Jun 01, 2025 | Fredrikstad | 1-1 | Sarpsborg 08 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 | 0-4 | Fredrikstad |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Sarpsborg 08 | 0-1 | Fredrikstad |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Fredrikstad | 2-2 | Sarpsborg 08 |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Fredrikstad | 0-1 | Sarpsborg 08 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Fredrikstad in strong form (4W in last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.