Esiliiga A · Mar 08, 2026 15:00
Maardu
PWR 35
Nõmme United II
PWR 35
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT
Maardu
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Nõmme United II Win
Score
8-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)2-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)3-2 (5%)2-2 (4%)
CORRECT 4-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 69%
Over 3.5
74%
74%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Nõmme United II
WWDWW
STABLE
Maardu
WDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAKPOSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Points within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.77
Nõmme United IIvs
1.23
MaarduGoal Probability
Nõmme Unite…
0
2%
1
9%
2
16%
3
21%
4
19%
Maardu
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 5.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 6.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Nõmme Unite…+8
Gap#9
Maardu
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Nõmme United II
18.0%
| Feb 14 | Nõmme U… v Parnu J… | 3-4 |
| Nov 09 | Nõmme U… v JK Taba… | 0-1 |
| Oct 30 | Nõmme U… v Maardu | 3-3 |
| Oct 27 | Nõmme U… v Kuressa… | 1-4 |
| Oct 22 | Nõmme U… v Johvi P… | 3-1 |
| Oct 18 | Nõmme U… v Tartu K… | 0-4 |
| Oct 12 | Nõmme U… v Narva U… | 3-1 |
| Oct 04 | Nõmme U… v Legion | 5-1 |
| Sep 28 | Nõmme U… v Läänema… | 1-5 |
| Sep 23 | Nõmme U… v Paide II | 2-0 |
Maardu
16.0%
| Feb 21 | Maardu v Tallinn… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Maardu v Legion | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Maardu v Kuressa… | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Maardu v Nõmme U… | 3-3 |
| Oct 26 | Maardu v Narva U… | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Maardu v Johvi P… | 2-0 |
| Oct 11 | Maardu v JK Taba… | 2-2 |
| Oct 04 | Maardu v Tartu K… | 2-2 |
| Sep 28 | Maardu v Paide II | 2-2 |
| Sep 18 | Maardu v Läänema… | 7-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 30, 2025 | Nõmme United … | 3-3 | Maardu |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Maardu | 3-2 | Nõmme United … |
| May 24, 2025 | Maardu | 2-0 | Nõmme United … |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Nõmme United … | 1-3 | Maardu |
Decision Breakdown
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Nõmme United II in strong form (4W in last 5)
Maardu in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.