Esiliiga A · Mar 07, 2026 15:30
FC Tallinn
PWR 35
Elva
PWR 35
FC Tallinn
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Elva
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (14%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (4%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 35%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Tallinn
LLLWW
DOWN
Elva
WWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.99
FC Tallinnvs
0.46
ElvaGoal Probability
FC Tallinn
0
5%
1
15%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
Elva
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (6%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
FC Tallinn-1
Gap#5
Elva
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
FC Tallinn
8.0%
| Feb 24 | FC Tall… v Riga FC | 0-3 |
| Feb 20 | FC Tall… v Paide | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | FC Tall… v Nõmme U… | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | FC Tall… v FC Leva… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | FC Tall… v Ogre Un… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | FC Tall… v BFC Dau… | 4-0 |
| Jan 25 | FC Tall… v AIK Sto… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | FC Tall… v Johvi P… | 1-0 |
| Nov 15 | FC Tall… v Johvi P… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | FC Tall… v Luunja | 5-2 |
Elva
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Elva v Valmier… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Elva v Smiltene | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Elva v Skanste | 1-3 |
| Nov 09 | Elva v Nõmme U… | 5-0 |
| Nov 02 | Elva v Flora II | 2-0 |
| Oct 30 | Elva v Tallinn… | 1-2 |
| Oct 27 | Elva v Tartu W… | 3-2 |
| Oct 23 | Elva v FCI Lev… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Elva v FC Tall… | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Elva v Nõmme K… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Elva | 1-0 | FC Tallinn |
| Aug 16, 2025 | FC Tallinn | 1-2 | Elva |
| May 22, 2025 | Elva | 1-1 | FC Tallinn |
| Apr 24, 2025 | FC Tallinn | 1-1 | Elva |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Elva | 0-1 | FC Tallinn |
| Aug 10, 2024 | FC Tallinn | 3-4 | Elva |
| May 30, 2024 | FC Tallinn | 4-0 | Elva |
| May 04, 2024 | Elva | 2-3 | FC Tallinn |
| Oct 08, 2023 | FC Tallinn | 1-2 | Elva |
| Aug 05, 2023 | Elva | 4-3 | FC Tallinn |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Elva in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Tallinn struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.