Paulista - A1 · Mar 04, 2026 23:00
Palmeiras
PWR 35
Novorizontino
PWR 35
Palmeiras
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Novorizontino
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 66% home + 23% draw = 89% combined
92%
accuracy
1.18x
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Palmeiras to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
89%
Home/Draw
1.18x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.12x
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Palmeiras
WWWDD
UP
Novorizontino
WWWLW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Palmeirasvs
0.86
NovorizontinoGoal Probability
Palmeiras
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Novorizonti…
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Palmeiras-1
Gap#1
Novorizonti…
WR 75% 16 pts
WR 25% 16 pts
Palmeiras
16.0%
| Mar 01 | Palmeir… v São Pau… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Palmeir… v Flumine… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Palmeir… v Capivar… | 4-0 |
| Feb 21 | Palmeir… v Capital | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Palmeir… v GuaranĂ… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Palmeir… v Tocanti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Palmeir… v Interna… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Palmeir… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Palmeir… v Guarabi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Palmeir… v Vitoria | 5-1 |
Novorizontino
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Novoriz… v Corinth… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Novoriz… v Naciona… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Novoriz… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Novoriz… v RB Brag… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Novoriz… v São Ber… | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | Novoriz… v Mirassol | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Novoriz… v Botafogo | 2-0 |
| Jan 20 | Novoriz… v Palmeir… | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Novoriz… v Primave… | 3-4 |
| Jan 13 | Novoriz… v GuaranĂ… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jan 20, 2026 | Novorizontino | 4-0 | Palmeiras |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Palmeiras | 1-2 | Novorizontino |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Palmeiras | 1-0 | Novorizontino |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Novorizontino | 1-1 | Palmeiras |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Novorizontino | 0-2 | Palmeiras |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
68%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Palmeiras in strong form (3W in last 5)
Novorizontino in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.