FA Cup · Mar 07, 2026 19:30
Dunfermline
PWR 62
Aberdeen
PWR 74
Dunfermline
PWR 62
3 - 0
FT
Aberdeen
PWR 74
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Dunfermline to win (58% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)2-0 (22%)3-0 (14%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
WRONG 3-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
54Attack76
65Defense71
Goals/G
1.62.2
Conc/G
1.00.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dunfermline
WWDLL
STABLE
Aberdeen
LLDLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FA Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Dunfermlinevs
0.20
AberdeenGoal Probability
Dunfermline
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Aberdeen
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Dunfermline-2
Gap#3
Aberdeen
WR 67% 19 pts
WR 75% 29 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| Aberdeen | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 29 |
Dunfermline
10.0%
| Mar 03 | Dunferm… v Ross Co… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Dunferm… v Queen's… | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Dunferm… v Partick | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Dunferm… v Arbroath | 4-2 |
| Feb 17 | Dunferm… v Morton | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Dunferm… v Kelty H… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Dunferm… v Airdrie… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Dunferm… v ST John… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Dunferm… v Hiberni… | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | Dunferm… v Raith R… | 1-2 |
Aberdeen
6.0%
| Mar 04 | Aberdeen v Celtic | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Aberdeen v Heart o… | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Aberdeen v Dundee … | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Aberdeen v Dundee … | 2-3 |
| Feb 18 | Aberdeen v Motherw… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Aberdeen v Motherw… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Aberdeen v Kilmarn… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Aberdeen v Livings… | 6-2 |
| Jan 18 | Aberdeen v Raith R… | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Aberdeen v Rangers… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 09, 2025 | Aberdeen | 3-0 | Dunfermline |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aberdeen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.