Virsliga · Mar 15, 2026 17:00
Tukums
PWR 35
Ogre United
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Tukums
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (26%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ogre United
LLLWW
DOWN
Tukums
LDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Ogre Unitedvs
0.20
TukumsGoal Probability
Ogre United
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Tukums
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Ogre United-3
Gap#7
Tukums
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Ogre United
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Ogre Un… v Rīgas FS | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Ogre Un… v FK Zalg… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Ogre Un… v FC Tall… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Ogre Un… v Mārupe | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Ogre Un… v Skanste | 3-0 |
| Oct 25 | Ogre Un… v Riga FC… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Ogre Un… v JDFS Al… | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Ogre Un… v Rīgas F… | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Ogre Un… v Smiltene | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Ogre Un… v Riga Ma… | 3-0 |
Tukums
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Tukums v FS Jelg… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Tukums v Panevėž… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Tukums v FS Jelg… | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | Tukums v Auda | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Tukums v Kooteep… | 2-3 |
| Oct 24 | Tukums v Riga FC | 0-0 |
| Oct 23 | Tukums v Kooteep… | 3-0 |
| Oct 19 | Tukums v Rīgas FS | 2-4 |
| Oct 18 | Tukums v FC Lahti | 3-3 |
| Oct 04 | Tukums v Grobiņa | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ogre United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.