Virsliga · Mar 08, 2026 12:00
FS Jelgava
PWR 35
Tukums
PWR 35
FS Jelgava
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Tukums
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FS Jelgava Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (27%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (5%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.91x
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FS Jelgava
LWDDD
STABLE
Tukums
DDWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Points within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
FS Jelgavavs
0.69
TukumsGoal Probability
FS Jelgava
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Tukums
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
FS Jelgava+4
Gap#7
Tukums
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
FS Jelgava
10.0%
| Feb 27 | FS Jelg… v FK Liep… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | FS Jelg… v Nõmme U… | 0-1 |
| Nov 09 | FS Jelg… v Tukums | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | FS Jelg… v Metta /… | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | FS Jelg… v FK Liep… | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | FS Jelg… v BFC Dau… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | FS Jelg… v Super N… | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | FS Jelg… v Auda | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | FS Jelg… v Riga FC | 2-3 |
| Sep 13 | FS Jelg… v Rīgas FS | 1-4 |
Tukums
14.0%
| Jan 31 | Tukums v Panevėž… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Tukums v FS Jelg… | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | Tukums v Auda | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Tukums v Kooteep… | 2-3 |
| Oct 24 | Tukums v Riga FC | 0-0 |
| Oct 23 | Tukums v Kooteep… | 3-0 |
| Oct 19 | Tukums v RÄ«gas FS | 2-4 |
| Oct 18 | Tukums v FC Lahti | 3-3 |
| Oct 04 | Tukums v Grobiņa | 1-0 |
| Sep 28 | Tukums v Super N… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Tukums | 1-1 | FS Jelgava |
| Aug 23, 2025 | FS Jelgava | 1-1 | Tukums |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Tukums | 1-1 | FS Jelgava |
| Apr 23, 2025 | FS Jelgava | 2-1 | Tukums |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Tukums | 3-3 | FS Jelgava |
| Jun 26, 2024 | FS Jelgava | 0-0 | Tukums |
| May 07, 2024 | Tukums | 2-1 | FS Jelgava |
| Mar 17, 2024 | FS Jelgava | 2-3 | Tukums |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Tukums | 0-0 | FS Jelgava |
| Aug 26, 2023 | FS Jelgava | 2-0 | Tukums |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
86%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.