Super League · Mar 14, 2026 07:30
Shandong Taishan
PWR 35
Beijing Guoan
PWR 35
Shandong Taishan
PWR 35
4-3
predicted
Beijing Guoan
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Shandong Taishan Win
Score
4-3
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (4%)1-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.5x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.93x
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
67%
67%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Shandong Taish…
WDWWD
STABLE
Beijing Guoan
WLWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAK
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.66
Shandong Taish…vs
0.95
Beijing GuoanGoal Probability
Shandong Ta…
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Beijing Guo…
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)4-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Shandong Ta…-2
Gap#8
Beijing Guo…
WR 100% -3 pts
WR 100% -2 pts
Shandong Taish…
16.0%
| Mar 07 | Shandon… v Shenyan… | 3-0 |
| Nov 22 | Shandon… v Wuhan T… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Shandon… v Tianjin… | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Shandon… v SHANGHA… | 3-1 |
| Oct 18 | Shandon… v Zhejian… | 2-2 |
| Oct 04 | Shandon… v Yunnan … | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Shandon… v Qingdao… | 2-2 |
| Sep 12 | Shandon… v Shangha… | 3-3 |
| Aug 31 | Shandon… v Beijing… | 6-0 |
| Aug 24 | Shandon… v Qingdao… | 3-2 |
Beijing Guoan
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Beijing… v Wuhan T… | 0-2 |
| Dec 11 | Beijing… v Macarth… | 1-2 |
| Dec 06 | Beijing… v Henan FC | 2-0 |
| Nov 27 | Beijing… v Công An… | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Beijing… v Meizhou… | 0-0 |
| Nov 06 | Beijing… v Wofoo T… | 3-0 |
| Nov 01 | Beijing… v Changch… | 0-4 |
| Oct 26 | Beijing… v Qingdao… | 2-4 |
| Oct 23 | Beijing… v Wofoo T… | 3-3 |
| Oct 18 | Beijing… v Sichuan… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Shandong Tais… | 6-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Beijing Guoan | 6-1 | Shandong Tais… |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
51%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Shandong Taishan in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.