Cup · Sep 18, 2025 14:00
FK Liepaja
PWR 40
Riga FC
PWR 71
FK Liepaja
PWR 40
0 - 4
FT
Riga FC
PWR 71
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Riga FC to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-3
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)2-1 (4%)2-2 (4%)3-3 (3%)3-0 (3%)
WRONG 0-4
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 83%
Over 3.5
58%
58%
Team Comparison
70Attack82
0Defense65
Goals/G
2.02.3
Conc/G
3.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FK Liepaja
WWLWW
STABLE
Riga FC
WWWLL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probability
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
FK Liepajavs
1.87
Riga FCGoal Probability
FK Liepaja
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Riga FC
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-3 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-3 (6%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
FK Liepaja-4
Gap#1
Riga FC
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 67% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Liepaja | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Riga FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
FK Liepaja
16.0%
| Sep 14 | FK Liep… v Tukums | 4-1 |
| Aug 29 | FK Liep… v Metta /… | 1-2 |
| Aug 25 | FK Liep… v Super N… | 0-3 |
| Aug 09 | FK Liep… v BFC Dau… | 2-1 |
| Aug 02 | FK Liep… v FS Jelg… | 1-2 |
| Jul 27 | FK Liep… v Auda | 2-0 |
| Jul 19 | FK Liep… v Riga FC | 2-3 |
| Jul 04 | FK Liep… v Rīgas FS | 2-1 |
| Jun 30 | FK Liep… v Grobiņa | 2-0 |
| Jun 25 | FK Liep… v Tukums | 1-3 |
Riga FC
12.0%
| Sep 13 | Riga FC v Auda | 6-0 |
| Aug 30 | Riga FC v Super N… | 2-6 |
| Aug 27 | Riga FC v Slavia … | 1-0 |
| Aug 21 | Riga FC v Slavia … | 2-0 |
| Aug 14 | Riga FC v Beitar … | 3-1 |
| Aug 10 | Riga FC v Grobiņa | 2-0 |
| Aug 07 | Riga FC v Beitar … | 3-0 |
| Aug 03 | Riga FC v Tukums | 0-1 |
| Jul 31 | Riga FC v Dila | 3-3 |
| Jul 27 | Riga FC v Metta /… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jul 19, 2025 | FK Liepaja | 2-3 | Riga FC |
| May 19, 2025 | Riga FC | 2-0 | FK Liepaja |
| Apr 03, 2025 | FK Liepaja | 2-5 | Riga FC |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Riga FC | 1-0 | FK Liepaja |
| Jul 07, 2024 | FK Liepaja | 0-3 | Riga FC |
| May 14, 2024 | FK Liepaja | 1-1 | Riga FC |
| Apr 04, 2024 | Riga FC | 4-0 | FK Liepaja |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Riga FC | 3-1 | FK Liepaja |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FK Liepaja in strong form (4W in last 5)
Riga FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.