FA Cup · Mar 08, 2026 13:30
Port Vale
PWR 28
Sunderland
PWR 35
Port Vale
PWR 28
1 - 0
FT
Sunderland
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
X2 (Away/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 66% away + 21% draw = 87% combined
92%
accuracy
1.21x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Port Vale to win (85% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
85%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (20%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
3.08x
DC X2
87%
Away/Draw
1.21x
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
79%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
22Attack34
58Defense68
Goals/G
0.71.1
Conc/G
1.41.1
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Port Vale
WDWDL
STABLE
Sunderland
WDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FA Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Port Valevs
0.71
SunderlandGoal Probability
Port Vale
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Sunderland
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (16%)1-0 (15%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (14%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Port Vale+50
Gap#55
Sunderland
WR 50% 21 pts
WR 17% 5 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 21 |
| Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
Port Vale
12.0%
| Mar 03 | Port Va… v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Port Va… v Bolton | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Port Va… v Northam… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Port Va… v Reading… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Port Va… v Stevena… | 2-1 |
| Feb 10 | Port Va… v Stockpo… | 0-4 |
| Feb 07 | Port Va… v Brighto… | 2-2 |
| Feb 03 | Port Va… v AFC Wim… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Port Va… v Leyton … | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Port Va… v Exeter … | 1-3 |
Sunderland
10.0%
| Mar 03 | Sunderl… v Leeds | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Sunderl… v Bournem… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Sunderl… v Fulham | 1-3 |
| Feb 15 | Sunderl… v Oxford … | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Sunderl… v Liverpo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Sunderl… v Arsenal | 3-0 |
| Feb 02 | Sunderl… v Burnley | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Sunderl… v West Br… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | Sunderl… v Crystal… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Sunderl… v Everton | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 10, 2021 | Port Vale | 1-2 | Sunderland |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Sunderland | 2-0 | Port Vale |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.