Baiano - 1 · Mar 07, 2026 20:00
Bahia
PWR 35
Vitoria
PWR 35
Bahia
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Vitoria
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bahia Win
Score
5-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (4%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)2-2 (2%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 61%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bahia
WWWLW
UP
Vitoria
WDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/9 draws (44%) = VERY HIGH riskAway draws 75% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 95% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Bahiavs
0.96
VitoriaGoal Probability
Bahia
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Vitoria
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Bahia+1
Gap#2
Vitoria
WR 80% 23 pts
WR 25% 16 pts
Bahia
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Bahia v Figueir… | 4-2 |
| Feb 25 | Bahia v O'Higgi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Bahia v Atlétic… | 2-4 |
| Feb 18 | Bahia v O'Higgi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Bahia v Vasco D… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Bahia v Figueir… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Bahia v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Bahia v Porto BA | 3-1 |
| Jan 28 | Bahia v Corinth… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Bahia v Vitoria | 0-1 |
Vitoria
18.0%
| Mar 01 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 4-1 |
| Feb 23 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vitoria v GalĂcia | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Vitoria v Bahia d… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Vitoria v Serra T… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Vitoria v Flamengo | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Vitoria v Rio Bra… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Vitoria v Jequié | 2-2 |
| Feb 05 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Vitoria v Palmeir… | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jan 25, 2026 | Vitoria | 0-1 | Bahia |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Vitoria | 2-1 | Bahia |
| May 18, 2025 | Bahia | 2-1 | Vitoria |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Vitoria | 1-1 | Bahia |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Bahia | 2-0 | Vitoria |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Bahia | 0-0 | Vitoria |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Bahia | 2-0 | Vitoria |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Vitoria | 2-2 | Bahia |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Bahia | 1-1 | Vitoria |
Decision Breakdown
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
68%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Bahia in strong form (4W in last 5)
Vitoria in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.