Capixaba · Mar 07, 2026 19:00
Vilavelhense
PWR 35
Vilavelhense
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Serra Talhada
PWR 35
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Vilavelhense to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
72%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vilavelhense
DDLWW
STABLE
Serra Talhada
WLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Capixaba
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Vilavelhensevs
0.64
Serra TalhadaGoal Probability
Vilavelhense
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Serra Talha…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (22%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Vilavelhense-1
Gap#2
Serra Talha…
WR 50% 13 pts
WR 20% 14 pts
Vilavelhense
12.0%
| Feb 27 | Vilavel… v Desport… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vilavel… v Desport… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Vilavel… v Porto V… | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Vilavel… v Serra T… | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | Vilavel… v Rio Bra… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Vilavel… v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Vilavel… v Capixab… | 2-1 |
| Jan 26 | Vilavel… v Real No… | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Vilavel… v Desport… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Vilavel… v Rio Bra… | 1-4 |
Serra Talhada
8.0%
| Feb 26 | Serra T… v Real No… | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Serra T… v Real No… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Serra T… v Vitoria | 1-2 |
| Feb 09 | Serra T… v Vilavel… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Serra T… v Porto V… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Serra T… v Rio Bra… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Serra T… v Fortale… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Serra T… v Capixab… | 3-0 |
| Jan 22 | Serra T… v Real No… | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Serra T… v Desport… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 09, 2026 | Vilavelhense | 1-0 | Serra Talhada |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Vilavelhense | 2-1 | Serra Talhada |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Vilavelhense | 3-3 | Serra Talhada |
| Apr 08, 2022 | Serra Talhada | 3-1 | Vilavelhense |
| Mar 31, 2022 | Vilavelhense | 1-3 | Serra Talhada |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Vilavelhense | 2-3 | Serra Talhada |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Vilavelhense | 3-3 | Serra Talhada |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Serra Talhada struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.