Sergipano · Mar 08, 2026 20:00
AO Itabaiana
PWR 35
América Mineiro
PWR 42
AO Itabaiana
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
América Mineiro
PWR 42
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
AO Itabaiana Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (18%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (7%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack34
100Defense62
Goals/G
0.01.0
Conc/G
0.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AO Itabaiana
LWWDW
STABLE
América Mineiro
DDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
AO Itabaianavs
0.62
América MineiroGoal Probability
AO Itabaiana
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
América Min…
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (25%)0-0 (23%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
AO Itabaiana+4
Gap#5
América Min…
WR 49% 107 pts
WR 28% 44 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AO Itabaiana | 61 | 30 | 17 | 14 | 77 | 48 | 107 |
| América Minei… | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 39 | 44 |
AO Itabaiana
14.0%
| Feb 28 | AO Itab… v Confian… | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | AO Itab… v Confian… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | AO Itab… v Falcon | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | AO Itab… v GuaranĂ… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | AO Itab… v América… | 0-3 |
| Feb 08 | AO Itab… v Confian… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | AO Itab… v Dorense | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | AO Itab… v Lagarto | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | AO Itab… v Desport… | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | AO Itab… v Sergipe | 0-1 |
América Mineiro
12.0%
| Mar 05 | América… v Pague M… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | América… v Sergipe | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | América… v Atletic… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | América… v Sergipe | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | América… v Lagarto | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | América… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | América… v Confian… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | América… v North E… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | América… v AO Itab… | 0-3 |
| Feb 08 | América… v Cruzeiro | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Feb 11, 2026 | América Minei… | 0-3 | AO Itabaiana |
| Mar 15, 2025 | AO Itabaiana | 1-0 | América Minei… |
| Mar 09, 2025 | América Minei… | 1-1 | AO Itabaiana |
| Jan 25, 2025 | América Minei… | 1-1 | AO Itabaiana |
| Feb 07, 2024 | AO Itabaiana | 2-0 | América Minei… |
| Feb 05, 2023 | América Minei… | 2-2 | AO Itabaiana |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AO Itabaiana in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.