Brasiliense · Mar 08, 2026 13:00
Sobradinho EC
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Samambaia FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Samambaia FC Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (36%)0-1 (22%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (3%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
9%
Under 2.5
91%
91%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sobradinho EC
WLWLW
STABLE
Samambaia FC
WWWWL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 65% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
Sobradinho ECvs
0.62
Samambaia FCGoal Probability
Sobradinho …
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Samambaia FC
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (19%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Sobradinho …-1
Gap#2
Samambaia FC
WR 75% 17 pts
WR 60% 20 pts
Sobradinho EC
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Sobradi… v Brasília | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Sobradi… v Samamba… | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | Sobradi… v Real FC | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Sobradi… v Gama | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Sobradi… v Capital… | 2-3 |
| Jan 25 | Sobradi… v ARUC | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | Sobradi… v Brasili… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Sobradi… v Paranoá | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Sobradi… v Uberlân… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Sobradi… v Brasili… | 0-0 |
Samambaia FC
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Samamba… v Paranoá | 0-6 |
| Feb 22 | Samamba… v Sobradi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 12 | Samamba… v ARUC | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Samamba… v Brasília | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Samamba… v Brasili… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Samamba… v Real FC | 0-1 |
| Jan 21 | Samamba… v Gama | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Samamba… v Uberlân… | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Samamba… v Capital… | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Samamba… v Uberlân… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 22, 2026 | Samambaia FC | 3-0 | Sobradinho EC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Samambaia FC | 1-0 | Sobradinho EC |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Samambaia FC | 2-2 | Sobradinho EC |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sobradinho EC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Samambaia FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.