DBU Pokalen · Mar 08, 2026 17:00
FC Midtjylland
PWR 62
Aarhus GF
PWR 56
FC Midtjylland
PWR 62
1 - 1
FT
Aarhus GF
PWR 56
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Aarhus GF to win (55% confidence)
Score
1-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (58%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (4%)2-0 (3%)0-2 (1%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
2%
Under 2.5
98%
98%
BTTS
No
No 5%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
70Attack53
65Defense58
Goals/G
2.01.5
Conc/G
1.01.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Midtjylland
DWWWW
STABLE
Aarhus GF
WWWWD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.33
FC Midtjyllandvs
0.21
Aarhus GFGoal Probability
FC Midtjyll…
0
72%
1
24%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Aarhus GF
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
FC Midtjyll…-5
Gap#2
Aarhus GF
WR 50% 16 pts
WR 56% 28 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 16 |
| Aarhus GF | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 19 | 28 |
FC Midtjylland
18.0%
| Mar 01 | FC Midt… v Brondby | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | FC Midt… v Silkebo… | 0-4 |
| Feb 15 | FC Midt… v Odense | 1-4 |
| Feb 12 | FC Midt… v Aarhus … | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | FC Midt… v FC Cope… | 2-1 |
| Jan 29 | FC Midt… v Dinamo … | 2-0 |
| Jan 22 | FC Midt… v Brann | 3-3 |
| Dec 14 | FC Midt… v FC Nord… | 2-1 |
| Dec 11 | FC Midt… v Genk | 1-0 |
| Dec 07 | FC Midt… v Viborg | 3-3 |
Aarhus GF
18.0%
| Mar 06 | Aarhus … v Aalborg | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Aarhus … v Vejle | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Aarhus … v Middelf… | 4-1 |
| Feb 22 | Aarhus … v Viborg | 5-2 |
| Feb 20 | Aarhus … v Hobro | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Aarhus … v FC Fred… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Aarhus … v FC Midt… | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | Aarhus … v Odense | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Aarhus … v Vejle | 0-3 |
| Feb 01 | Aarhus … v FC Cope… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 12, 2026 | Aarhus GF | 0-1 | FC Midtjylland |
| Nov 03, 2025 | FC Midtjylland | 1-1 | Aarhus GF |
| Aug 03, 2025 | Aarhus GF | 0-0 | FC Midtjylland |
| May 04, 2025 | FC Midtjylland | 3-1 | Aarhus GF |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Aarhus GF | 1-1 | FC Midtjylland |
| Oct 27, 2024 | FC Midtjylland | 2-0 | Aarhus GF |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Aarhus GF | 1-1 | FC Midtjylland |
| Jul 04, 2024 | FC Midtjylland | 4-0 | Aarhus GF |
| May 12, 2024 | FC Midtjylland | 2-1 | Aarhus GF |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Aarhus GF | 0-1 | FC Midtjylland |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Midtjylland in strong form (4W in last 5)
Aarhus GF in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.