Sul-Matogrossense · Mar 08, 2026 19:30
Tombense
PWR 35
Dourados Atlético
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Tombense
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Dourados Atlético Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)1-1 (5%)1-0 (4%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack27
100Defense57
Goals/G
0.00.8
Conc/G
0.01.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dourados Atlét…
DLWLD
STABLE
Tombense
WLDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 40% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 65% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.25
Dourados Atlét…vs
1.06
TombenseGoal Probability
Dourados At…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Tombense
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Dourados At…+5
Gap#7
Tombense
WR 40% 58 pts
WR 19% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dourados Atlé… | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 58 |
| Tombense | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 20 |
Dourados Atlét…
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Dourado… v Cr Aqui… | 3-3 |
| Feb 21 | Dourado… v Tombense | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Dourado… v Batagua… | 7-2 |
| Feb 11 | Dourado… v Jataien… | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Dourado… v Operári… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Dourado… v Costa R… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Dourado… v Águia N… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Dourado… v Portugu… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Dourado… v Ivinhema | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Dourado… v Águia N… | 2-1 |
Tombense
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Tombense v Costa R… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Tombense v Uniao T… | 3-1 |
| Feb 25 | Tombense v Oratório | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Tombense v Dourado… | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Tombense v Uniao T… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Tombense v Águia N… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Tombense v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Tombense v Ivinhema | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Tombense v Uniao T… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Tombense v Cr Aqui… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Tombense | 2-0 | Dourados Atlé… |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Tombense | 0-1 | Dourados Atlé… |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Dourados Atlé… | 2-0 | Tombense |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Tombense | 0-0 | Dourados Atlé… |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Tombense | 0-1 | Dourados Atlé… |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Dourados Atlé… | 3-0 | Tombense |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.