USL Championship · Mar 11, 2026 16:00
Birmingham Legion
PWR 49
Hartford Athletic
PWR 46
Birmingham Legion
PWR 49
0 - 0
FT
Hartford Athletic
PWR 46
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Birmingham Legion Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-3 (5%)2-1 (5%)3-3 (5%)1-2 (5%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.6x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.77x
Over 2.5
80%
80%
Under 2.5
20%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 86%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
42Attack43
62Defense62
Goals/G
1.21.2
Conc/G
1.11.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Birmingham Leg…
LLLWD
DOWN
Hartford Athle…
WLLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Birmingham Leg…vs
2.58
Hartford Athle…Goal Probability
Birmingham …
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Hartford At…
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#19
Birmingham …+7
Gap#26
Hartford At…
WR 42% 37 pts
WR 31% 15 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Le… | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 37 |
| Hartford Athl… | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
Birmingham Leg…
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Birming… v Tampa B… | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Birming… v Charles… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Birming… v Miami FC | 2-3 |
| Oct 04 | Birming… v Loudoun… | 0-1 |
| Oct 02 | Birming… v North C… | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Birming… v San Ant… | 0-0 |
| Sep 17 | Birming… v Tampa B… | 1-4 |
| Aug 10 | Birming… v Hartfor… | 1-4 |
| May 03 | Birming… v Tampa B… | 2-2 |
| Apr 19 | Birming… v Hartfor… | 1-0 |
Hartford Athle…
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Hartfor… v Sportin… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Hartfor… v New Eng… | 6-1 |
| Jan 31 | Hartfor… v New Yor… | 5-0 |
| Nov 01 | Hartfor… v Pittsbu… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Hartfor… v Louisvi… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Hartfor… v Tampa B… | 3-2 |
| Aug 10 | Hartfor… v Birming… | 1-4 |
| Apr 19 | Hartfor… v Birming… | 1-0 |
| Aug 03 | Hartfor… v Birming… | 2-2 |
| Mar 23 | Hartfor… v Birming… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Aug 10, 2025 | Birmingham Le… | 1-4 | Hartford Athl… |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Hartford Athl… | 1-0 | Birmingham Le… |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Birmingham Le… | 2-2 | Hartford Athl… |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Hartford Athl… | 1-0 | Birmingham Le… |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Birmingham Le… | 3-2 | Hartford Athl… |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Hartford Athl… | 0-1 | Birmingham Le… |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Hartford Athl… | 0-1 | Birmingham Le… |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Birmingham Le… | 2-1 | Hartford Athl… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
46%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Birmingham Legion struggling (3L in last 5)
Hartford Athletic struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.