USL League One Cup · Jul 26, 2025 23:00
Lexington
PWR 23
Louisville City FC
PWR 77
Lexington
PWR 23
1 - 2
FT
Louisville City FC
PWR 77
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Louisville City FC to win (77% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
77%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (42%)0-1 (24%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (7%)0-2 (7%)1-2 (2%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
6%
Under 2.5
94%
94%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
62%
62%
Team Comparison
12Attack70
53Defense65
Goals/G
0.32.0
Conc/G
1.31.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lexington
LDLLD
STABLE
Louisville Citā¦
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Lexingtonvs
0.57
Louisville Citā¦Goal Probability
Lexington
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Louisville ā¦
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)2-3 (6%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Lexington-5
Gap#5
Louisville ā¦
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Louisville Ciā¦ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Lexington
4.0%
| May 02 | Lexingtā¦ v Louisviā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Lexingtā¦ v Pittsbuā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | Lexingtā¦ v Louisviā¦ | 3-2 |
| Sep 13 | Lexingtā¦ v One Knoā¦ | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Lexingtā¦ v One Knoā¦ | 0-0 |
| Jun 08 | Lexingtā¦ v One Knoā¦ | 2-0 |
| Mar 23 | Lexingtā¦ v One Knoā¦ | 2-0 |
| Aug 18 | Lexingtā¦ v One Knoā¦ | 1-0 |
| May 27 | Lexingtā¦ v One Knoā¦ | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Lexingtā¦ v Louisviā¦ | 1-0 |
Louisville Citā¦
14.0%
| Jul 20 | Louisviā¦ v FC UFA | 1-1 |
| Jul 05 | Louisviā¦ v Coloradā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jun 25 | Louisviā¦ v Loudounā¦ | 1-4 |
| Jun 20 | Louisviā¦ v North Cā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jun 15 | Louisviā¦ v Birmingā¦ | 4-2 |
| Jun 12 | Louisviā¦ v Rhode Iā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jun 08 | Louisviā¦ v Tampa Bā¦ | 2-1 |
| May 25 | Louisviā¦ v Monterrā¦ | 0-2 |
| May 17 | Louisviā¦ v Alloa Aā¦ | 1-1 |
| May 10 | Louisviā¦ v Pittsbuā¦ | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| May 02, 2025 | Louisville Ciā¦ | 2-0 | Lexington |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Louisville Ciā¦ | 3-2 | Lexington |
| Apr 05, 2023 | Louisville Ciā¦ | 1-0 | Lexington |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Louisville City FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Lexington struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.