Amazonense · Mar 08, 2026 23:00
Nacional AM
PWR 35
Guanabara City
PWR 48
PWR 48
0 - 1
FT
Nacional AM
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Guanabara City to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
41Attack0
68Defense100
Goals/G
1.20.0
Conc/G
0.90.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guanabara City
WDDDD
STABLE
Nacional AM
LWWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 4/7 draws (57%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 4/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Guanabara Cityvs
0.91
Nacional AMGoal Probability
Guanabara C…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Nacional AM
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Guanabara C…-1
Gap#2
Nacional AM
WR 32% 61 pts
WR 36% 71 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guanabara City | 44 | 14 | 19 | 11 | 51 | 40 | 61 |
| Nacional AM | 47 | 17 | 20 | 10 | 55 | 35 | 71 |
Guanabara City
12.0%
| Feb 26 | Guanaba… v JC | 3-2 |
| Feb 19 | Guanaba… v Amazonas | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Guanaba… v JC | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Guanaba… v São Rai… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Guanaba… v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Guanaba… v Amazonas | 2-0 |
| Jan 12 | Guanaba… v Princes… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Guanaba… v ASEEV | 2-1 |
| Oct 31 | Guanaba… v America… | 1-3 |
| Oct 26 | Guanaba… v Pinheir… | 2-1 |
Nacional AM
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Naciona… v Comerci… | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | Naciona… v Petrópo… | 3-0 |
| Mar 06 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Naciona… v Taquari… | 0-4 |
| Mar 01 | Naciona… v Toledo | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Naciona… v Princes… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Naciona… v Tanabi | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Naciona… v EC Leme… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Naciona… v Novoriz… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Naciona… v Treze | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jan 24, 2026 | Guanabara City | 1-1 | Nacional AM |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Guanabara City | 1-2 | Nacional AM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Guanabara City | 0-0 | Nacional AM |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Guanabara City | 1-0 | Nacional AM |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Guanabara City | 0-0 | Nacional AM |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Nacional AM | 1-1 | Guanabara City |
| Feb 03, 2022 | Nacional AM | 2-0 | Guanabara City |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.