Ligue 1 · Mar 08, 2026 16:30
Sonacos
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Stade de Mbour
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (24%)0-0 (24%)0-2 (12%)1-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (5%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sonacos
LLDDD
DOWN
Stade de Mbour
DDLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 67% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 56% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 122% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
Sonacosvs
1.01
Stade de MbourGoal Probability
Sonacos
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Stade de Mb…
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (31%)0-1 (22%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Sonacos-5
Gap#10
Stade de Mb…
WR 11% 16 pts
WR 22% 20 pts
Sonacos
6.0%
| Mar 01 | Sonacos v Wally D… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Sonacos v AJEL | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | Sonacos v Ouakam | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | Sonacos v HLM | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Sonacos v As Camb… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Sonacos v Casa Sp… | 3-0 |
| Jan 11 | Sonacos v Jaraaf | 0-0 |
| Jan 07 | Sonacos v Pikine | 2-0 |
| Dec 28 | Sonacos v DSC | 5-2 |
| Dec 21 | Sonacos v Générat… | 0-4 |
Stade de Mbour
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Stade d… v Générat… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Stade d… v La Ling… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Stade d… v Gorée | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Stade d… v Guediaw… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Stade d… v Teungue… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Stade d… v DSC | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Stade d… v Wally D… | 1-0 |
| Jan 07 | Stade d… v AJEL | 0-2 |
| Dec 29 | Stade d… v Ouakam | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Stade d… v HLM | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 16, 2025 | Stade de Mbour | 1-0 | Sonacos |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
42%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.