Welsh Cup · Mar 08, 2026 13:30
Rhyl
PWR 56
Caernarfon Town
PWR 58
Rhyl
PWR 56
0 - 0
FT
Caernarfon Town
PWR 58
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Rhyl Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-2 (5%)3-1 (4%)3-3 (4%)2-2 (4%)2-1 (3%)2-3 (3%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 90%
Over 3.5
65%
65%
Team Comparison
35Attack79
83Defense42
Goals/G
1.02.3
Conc/G
0.51.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rhyl
WWLDW
STABLE
Caernarfon Town
WDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.15
Rhylvs
2.42
Caernarfon TownGoal Probability
Rhyl
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Caernarfon …
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 5.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Rhyl-10
Gap#3
Caernarfon …
WR 50% 8 pts
WR 53% 26 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyl | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| Caernarfon To… | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 26 |
Rhyl
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Rhyl v Ruthin … | 3-2 |
| Feb 21 | Rhyl v Mold Al… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Rhyl v Airbus … | 1-3 |
| Jan 31 | Rhyl v Bala To… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Rhyl v Buckley… | 2-1 |
| Jan 01 | Rhyl v Llandud… | 3-1 |
| Dec 26 | Rhyl v Holyhea… | 3-1 |
| Dec 20 | Rhyl v Buckley… | 1-2 |
| Dec 13 | Rhyl v Porthma… | 1-2 |
| Dec 05 | Rhyl v Holywell | 3-1 |
Caernarfon Town
14.0%
| Mar 06 | Caernar… v Trethom… | 4-5 |
| Mar 01 | Caernar… v Newport… | 4-4 |
| Feb 27 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Caernar… v Caerau … | 3-4 |
| Feb 20 | Caernar… v The New… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Caernar… v Bala To… | 0-2 |
| Feb 13 | Caernar… v Trefelin | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Caernar… v GAP Con… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 4-1 |
| Jan 30 | Caernar… v Llantwi… | 1-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Rhyl in strong form (3W in last 5)
Caernarfon Town in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.