Meistriliiga · Mar 08, 2026 10:30
FC Levadia
PWR 76
Kuressaare
PWR 35
FC Levadia
PWR 76
1 - 0
FT
Kuressaare
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.5/g, Away concedes 1.7/g, expected 3.1 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Levadia Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
86Attack36
68Defense41
Goals/G
2.51.0
Conc/G
0.91.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Levadia
LWDDW
STABLE
Kuressaare
DWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
FC Levadiavs
0.42
KuressaareGoal Probability
FC Levadia
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Kuressaare
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (15%)3-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)4-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
FC Levadia+6
Gap#7
Kuressaare
WR 73% 94 pts
WR 26% 42 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Levadia | 41 | 30 | 4 | 7 | 101 | 38 | 94 |
| Kuressaare | 46 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 47 | 78 | 42 |
FC Levadia
12.0%
| Feb 14 | FC Leva… v FC Tall… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | FC Leva… v Tammeka | 4-2 |
| Jan 31 | FC Leva… v Transva… | 0-0 |
| Nov 08 | FC Leva… v Laagri | 2-2 |
| Nov 02 | FC Leva… v Transva… | 0-4 |
| Oct 26 | FC Leva… v Vaprus | 1-3 |
| Oct 22 | FC Leva… v Paide | 1-2 |
| Oct 18 | FC Leva… v Kuressa… | 0-3 |
| Oct 12 | FC Leva… v Flora II | 4-0 |
| Oct 05 | FC Leva… v Tammeka | 3-0 |
Kuressaare
10.0%
| Feb 21 | Kuressa… v Trans N… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Kuressa… v Tallinn… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Kuressa… v Vaprus | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Kuressa… v Tallinn… | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | Kuressa… v FC Tall… | 2-0 |
| Oct 25 | Kuressa… v Kalju N… | 0-1 |
| Oct 21 | Kuressa… v Vaprus | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Kuressa… v FC Leva… | 0-3 |
| Oct 04 | Kuressa… v Paide | 1-1 |
| Sep 26 | Kuressa… v Tammeka | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Kuressaare | 0-3 | FC Levadia |
| Aug 01, 2025 | FC Levadia | 2-0 | Kuressaare |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Kuressaare | 1-2 | FC Levadia |
| Apr 08, 2025 | FC Levadia | 2-1 | Kuressaare |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.