UEFA Champions League · Mar 11, 2026 17:45
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
PWR 42
Arsenal
PWR 21
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
PWR 42
1 - 1
FT
Arsenal
PWR 21
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Arsenal Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
55%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (21%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (4%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.67x
DC X2
84%
Away/Draw
1.26x
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
60Attack20
59Defense40
Goals/G
2.00.7
Conc/G
1.42.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bayer 04 Lever…
DWDDL
STABLE
Arsenal
DWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Bayer 04 Lever…vs
0.21
ArsenalGoal Probability
Bayer 04 Le…
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Arsenal
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#21
Bayer 04 Le…-16
Gap#5
Arsenal
WR 31% 17 pts
WR 57% 40 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leve… | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| Arsenal | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 18 | 40 |
Bayer 04 Lever…
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Bayer 0… v SC Frei… | 3-3 |
| Mar 04 | Bayer 0… v Hamburg… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Bayer 0… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Bayer 0… v Olympia… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Bayer 0… v Union B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Bayer 0… v Olympia… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Bayer 0… v FC St. … | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Bayer 0… v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Bayer 0… v FC St. … | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Bayer 0… v Eintrac… | 1-3 |
Arsenal
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Arsenal v Slavia … | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Arsenal v Mansfie… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Arsenal v Brighto… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Arsenal v Chelsea | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Arsenal v FC Gomel | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Arsenal v Tottenh… | 1-4 |
| Feb 22 | Arsenal v Mandals… | 0-5 |
| Feb 18 | Arsenal v Wolverh… | 2-2 |
| Feb 17 | Arsenal v Moss | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Arsenal v Wigan | 4-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Arsenal in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.