Cup · Mar 10, 2026 17:00
Vaprus
PWR 94
Tartu Welco
PWR 12
Vaprus
PWR 94
2 - 1
FT
Tartu Welco
PWR 12
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 7.5/g, Away concedes 3.0/g, expected 6.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Vaprus Win
Score
14-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (19%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (12%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
68%
68%
Team Comparison
100Attack35
83Defense0
Goals/G
7.51.0
Conc/G
0.53.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vaprus
LWLLL
STABLE
Tartu Welco
WDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Vaprusvs
1.25
Tartu WelcoGoal Probability
Vaprus
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Tartu Welco
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-4 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 5.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Vaprus+17
Gap#19
Tartu Welco
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 6 |
| Tartu Welco | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
Vaprus
4.0%
| Feb 15 | Vaprus v Trans N… | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Vaprus v Tallinn… | 0-6 |
| Feb 04 | Vaprus v Metta /… | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Vaprus v Kuressa… | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Vaprus v FC Tall… | 0-3 |
| Nov 02 | Vaprus v Paide | 3-0 |
| Oct 26 | Vaprus v FC Leva… | 1-3 |
| Oct 21 | Vaprus v Kuressa… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Vaprus v Transva… | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Vaprus v Kalju N… | 1-0 |
Tartu Welco
16.0%
| Mar 05 | Tartu W… v Tallinn… | 3-0 |
| Nov 09 | Tartu W… v Flora II | 1-1 |
| Nov 03 | Tartu W… v Luunja | 2-2 |
| Oct 27 | Tartu W… v Elva | 3-2 |
| Oct 23 | Tartu W… v Nõmme K… | 5-2 |
| Oct 19 | Tartu W… v Tallinn… | 1-3 |
| Oct 03 | Tartu W… v Viimsi | 1-4 |
| Sep 27 | Tartu W… v FCI Lev… | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Tartu W… v FC Tall… | 2-2 |
| Sep 18 | Tartu W… v Nõmme U… | 5-2 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
42%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Tartu Welco in strong form (3W in last 5)
Vaprus struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.