League One · Mar 11, 2026 19:45

Port Vale
PWR 28

Brentford
PWR 37

Port Vale
PWR 28
0 - 2
FT

Brentford
PWR 37
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Port Vale to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.78x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.51x
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
22Attack45
58Defense60
Goals/G
0.71.5
Conc/G
1.41.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Port Vale
WWDWD
STABLE
Brentford
WDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Port Valevs
1.17
BrentfordGoal Probability
Port Vale
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Brentford
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)0-2 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#23
Port Vale+3
Gap#26
Brentford
WR 22% 75 pts
WR 53% 64 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | 82 | 18 | 21 | 43 | 69 | 123 | 75 |
| Brentford | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 64 |
Port Vale
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Port Va… v Sunderl… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Port Va… v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Port Va… v Bolton | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Port Va… v Northam… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Port Va… v Reading… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Port Va… v Stevena… | 2-1 |
| Feb 10 | Port Va… v Stockpo… | 0-4 |
| Feb 07 | Port Va… v Brighto… | 2-2 |
| Feb 03 | Port Va… v AFC Wim… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Port Va… v Leyton … | 0-1 |
Brentford
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Brentfo… v Leyton … | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Brentfo… v Bournem… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Brentfo… v Reading… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Brentfo… v Burnley | 3-4 |
| Feb 24 | Brentfo… v Rotherh… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Brentfo… v AFC Wim… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Brentfo… v Brighto… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Brentfo… v Stockpo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Brentfo… v Peterbo… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Brentfo… v Arsenal | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 29, 2025 | Brentford | 1-0 | Port Vale |
| Apr 01, 2025 | Port Vale | 2-0 | Brentford |
| Apr 01, 2025 | Port Vale | 2-0 | Brentford |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Brentford | 2-1 | Port Vale |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Brentford | 2-1 | Port Vale |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Brentford | 1-2 | Port Vale |
| Jan 08, 2022 | Port Vale | 1-4 | Brentford |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Port Vale | 1-1 | Brentford |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Port Vale | 2-1 | Brentford |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Brentford | 0-0 | Port Vale |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Port Vale in strong form (3W in last 5)
Brentford in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.