Liga Pro · Jul 12, 2026 20:00

Universidad CatĂłlica
PWR 35
4-2
predicted

LDU Quito
PWR 35
41% 26% 33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Universidad CatĂłlica Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)3-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 75%
75%
Under 2.5
25%
BTTS Yes
Yes 76%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Universidad Ca… LWDLL
STABLE
LDU Quito LLWWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.09
Universidad Ca…
vs
1.61
LDU Quito
Goal Probability
Universidad…
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
LDU Quito
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (5%)0-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 87% 14% OVER
2.5 68% 32% OVER
3.5 47% 53% -
4.5 28% 72% UNDER
5.5 14% 86% UNDER
6.5 7% 93% UNDER
League Position
#7
Universidad…
+1
Gap
#8
LDU Quito
WR 100% 4 pts WR 50% 3 pts
Universidad Ca… 6.0%
Mar 08 Univers… v Cibao 0-3
Mar 08 Univers… v Leones … 3-0
Mar 01 Univers… v Mushuc … 0-0
Mar 01 Univers… v Delfine… 2-3
Feb 21 Univers… v Salcedo 2-0
Feb 14 Univers… v Atlétic… 2-3
Feb 13 Univers… v Juventud 3-4
Feb 07 Univers… v Moca 0-0
Feb 06 Univers… v Juventud 0-1
Jan 31 Univers… v Cibao 4-2
LDU Quito 8.0%
Mar 08 LDU Qui… v Liberta… 2-1
Mar 01 LDU Qui… v Macará 0-2
Feb 21 LDU Qui… v Orense … 1-2
Dec 21 LDU Qui… v Univers… 2-0
Dec 19 LDU Qui… v Univers… 2-3
Dec 14 LDU Qui… v Liberta… 2-1
Dec 10 LDU Qui… v Indepen… 0-0
Dec 06 LDU Qui… v Orense … 2-1
Nov 29 LDU Qui… v Indepen… 2-1
Nov 23 LDU Qui… v FC Barc… 2-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 21, 2025 LDU Quito 2-0 Universidad C…
Dec 19, 2025 LDU Quito 2-3 Universidad C…
Oct 05, 2025 Universidad C… 2-2 LDU Quito
Sep 21, 2025 LDU Quito 2-4 Universidad C…
May 24, 2025 Universidad C… 3-1 LDU Quito
Nov 24, 2024 Universidad C… 2-4 LDU Quito
May 26, 2024 LDU Quito 2-1 Universidad C…
Feb 18, 2024 LDU Quito 2-0 Universidad C…
Nov 02, 2023 LDU Quito 1-0 Universidad C…
Apr 29, 2023 Universidad C… 0-4 LDU Quito
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Universidad CatĂłlica struggling (3L in last 5)
LDU Quito struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.