Amapaense · Mar 10, 2026 23:00
Ypiranga-RS
PWR 42
Capital
PWR 38
PWR 38
0 - 2
FT
Ypiranga-RS
PWR 42
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Capital Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
51Attack49
43Defense44
Goals/G
1.51.4
Conc/G
1.61.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Capital
LLLLD
DOWN
Ypiranga-RS
LWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Capitalvs
1.35
Ypiranga-RSGoal Probability
Capital
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Ypiranga-RS
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Capital-3
Gap#5
Ypiranga-RS
WR 18% 9 pts
WR 33% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 9 |
| Ypiranga-RS | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 21 |
Capital
2.0%
| Mar 07 | Capital v Tocanti… | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | Capital v Remo | 3-1 |
| Feb 27 | Capital v São Jos… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Capital v Macapá | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Capital v Palmeir… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Capital v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Capital v União C… | 3-2 |
| Feb 13 | Capital v Indepen… | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Capital v Gurupi | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Capital v Bela Vi… | 1-0 |
Ypiranga-RS
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Ypirang… v São Jos… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Ypirang… v Macapá | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Ypirang… v Paranoá | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Ypirang… v Santos | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | Ypirang… v Interna… | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Ypirang… v Interna… | 0-3 |
| Feb 11 | Ypirang… v Oratório | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Ypirang… v Caxias | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Ypirang… v São José | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ypirang… v São Luiz | 2-2 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Capital struggling (4L in last 5)
Ypiranga-RS struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.