Segunda División · Jul 12, 2026 20:00
Concón National
PWR 50
PWR 50
3-1
predicted
Santiago City
PWR 30
PWR 30
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Concón National Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)2-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)3-2 (4%)2-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 70%
Over 3.5
76%
76%
Team Comparison
58Attack49
50Defense18
Goals/G
1.71.4
Conc/G
1.42.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Concón National
WWLLW
STABLE
Santiago City
DLLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.86
Concón Nationalvs
1.24
Santiago CityGoal Probability
Concón Nati…
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Santiago Ci…
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-1 (6%)2-2 (6%)4-1 (5%)4-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 5.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 6.5 | 27% | 74% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Concón Nati…+7
Gap#13
Santiago Ci…
WR 41% 43 pts
WR 22% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concón Nation… | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 46 | 43 |
| Santiago City | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 54 | 20 |
Concón National
12.0%
| Nov 22 | Concón … v Deporte… | 6-0 |
| Nov 10 | Concón … v San Ant… | 1-3 |
| Oct 25 | Concón … v Municip… | 0-2 |
| Oct 12 | Concón … v Deporte… | 4-0 |
| Sep 14 | Concón … v Provinc… | 0-2 |
| Sep 07 | Concón … v Santiag… | 4-2 |
| Aug 23 | Concón … v Provinc… | 2-2 |
| Aug 16 | Concón … v Trasand… | 0-1 |
| Aug 02 | Concón … v Linares… | 2-0 |
| Jul 27 | Concón … v Deporte… | 0-1 |
Santiago City
4.0%
| Nov 22 | Santiag… v Provinc… | 3-3 |
| Nov 09 | Santiag… v Municip… | 2-0 |
| Oct 25 | Santiag… v Deporte… | 0-1 |
| Oct 11 | Santiag… v San Ant… | 5-5 |
| Oct 04 | Santiag… v Deporte… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Santiag… v Real Sa… | 2-3 |
| Sep 07 | Santiag… v Concón … | 4-2 |
| Aug 23 | Santiag… v Linares… | 1-0 |
| Aug 03 | Santiag… v General… | 4-1 |
| Jul 27 | Santiag… v Provinc… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 07, 2025 | Santiago City | 4-2 | Concón Nation… |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Concón Nation… | 5-0 | Santiago City |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Concón National in strong form (3W in last 5)
Santiago City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.