UEFA Europa League · Mar 12, 2026 20:00
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
Lyon
PWR 42
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
1-1
predicted
Lyon
PWR 42
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.44x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.91x
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 67%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
40Attack50
69Defense70
Goals/G
1.31.7
Conc/G
1.01.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Celta de Vigo
LWWWW
STABLE
Lyon
DDLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): UEFA Europa League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Celta de Vigovs
1.36
LyonGoal Probability
Celta de Vi…
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Lyon
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Celta de Vi…-15
Gap#1
Lyon
WR 75% 13 pts
WR 75% 21 pts
Celta de Vigo
16.0%
| Mar 06 | Celta d… v Real Ma… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Celta d… v Girona | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Celta d… v Mallorca | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Celta d… v Espanyol | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Celta d… v Osasuna | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Celta d… v Getafe | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Celta d… v FK Crve… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Celta d… v Real So… | 3-1 |
Lyon
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Lyon v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Lyon v Lens | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Lyon v Olympiq… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Lyon v Nice | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lyon v Nantes | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Lyon v Laval | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Lyon v Lille | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lyon v PAOK | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | Lyon v Metz | 2-5 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 29, 2023 | Celta de Vigo | 1-0 | Lyon |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Celta de Vigo in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.