UEFA Europa League · Mar 12, 2026 17:45
Lille
PWR 37
Aston Villa
PWR 35
Lille
PWR 37
1-1
predicted
Aston Villa
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (22%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (7%)0-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.72x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.55x
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
81%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
51Attack0
55Defense100
Goals/G
1.70.0
Conc/G
1.50.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lille
DWWWL
STABLE
Aston Villa
WLLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): UEFA Europa League
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Lillevs
0.24
Aston VillaGoal Probability
Lille
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Aston Villa
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (23%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Lille-16
Gap#2
Aston Villa
WR 75% 12 pts
WR 75% 21 pts
Lille
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Lille v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lille v Nantes | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Lille v Angers | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Lille v Stade B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Lille v Metz | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Lille v Lyon | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lille v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Lille v Strasbo… | 1-4 |
Aston Villa
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Aston V… v John Hu… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Aston V… v Chelsea | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | Aston V… v Wolverh… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Aston V… v Leeds | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Aston V… v Remo St… | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Aston V… v Newcast… | 1-3 |
| Feb 11 | Aston V… v Brighto… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Aston V… v Bournem… | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | Aston V… v Pigotts… | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Aston V… v Brentfo… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Apr 18, 2024 | Lille | 2-1 | Aston Villa |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Lille |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
30%
Market
37%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lille in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.