UEFA Europa Conference League · Mar 12, 2026 20:00
Fiorentina
PWR 44
Raków Częstochowa
PWR 35
Fiorentina
PWR 44
1-1
predicted
Raków Częstochowa
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.35x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.21x
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 67%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
53Attack0
74Defense100
Goals/G
1.80.0
Conc/G
0.90.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fiorentina
DLLWW
STABLE
Raków Częstoch…
WLWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Fiorentinavs
1.41
Raków Częstoch…Goal Probability
Fiorentina
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Raków Częst…
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Fiorentina-13
Gap#2
Raków Częst…
WR 67% 9 pts
WR 33% 14 pts
Fiorentina
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Fiorent… v Parma | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Fiorent… v Udinese | 3-0 |
| Feb 26 | Fiorent… v Jagiell… | 2-4 |
| Feb 23 | Fiorent… v Pisa | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Fiorent… v Jagiell… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Fiorent… v Como | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Fiorent… v Torino | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Fiorent… v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Fiorent… v Como | 1-3 |
| Jan 24 | Fiorent… v Cagliari | 1-2 |
Raków Częstoch…
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Raków C… v Pogoń S… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Raków C… v Lech Po… | 4-3 |
| Feb 21 | Raków C… v Nieciec… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Raków C… v Zaglebi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Raków C… v Radomia… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Raków C… v Wisla P… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Raków C… v Vojvodi… | 3-1 |
| Jan 18 | Raków C… v Partiza… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Raków C… v RB Salz… | 1-1 |
| Dec 18 | Raków C… v Omonia … | 0-1 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
30%
Market
57%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.