UEFA Europa Conference League · Mar 12, 2026 17:45

Samsunspor
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (17%)2-0 (15%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)0-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.82x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.48x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS No
No 24%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack68
100Defense74
Goals/G
0.02.3
Conc/G
0.00.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Samsunspor LWDWD
STABLE
Rayo Vallecano DWDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
3.30
Samsunspor
vs
0.28
Rayo Vallecano
Goal Probability
Samsunspor
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Rayo Vallec…
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 92% 8% OVER
1.5 71% 29% OVER
2.5 45% 55% -
3.5 24% 76% UNDER
4.5 11% 89% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#12
Samsunspor
-7
Gap
#5
Rayo Vallec…
WR 67% 10 pts WR 33% 13 pts
Samsunspor 12.0%
Mar 08 Samsuns… v Fenerba… 3-2
Mar 05 Samsuns… v Antalya… 0-2
Mar 01 Samsuns… v Gazişeh… 0-0
Feb 26 Samsuns… v Shkëndi… 4-0
Feb 22 Samsuns… v Fatih K… 0-0
Feb 19 Samsuns… v Shkëndi… 0-1
Feb 13 Samsuns… v Antalya… 3-1
Feb 07 Samsuns… v Trabzon… 0-3
Feb 03 Samsuns… v BB Bodr… 2-0
Jan 30 Samsuns… v Kasımpa… 0-1
Rayo Vallecano 14.0%
Mar 08 Rayo Va… v Sevilla 1-1
Mar 04 Rayo Va… v Oviedo 3-0
Feb 28 Rayo Va… v Athleti… 1-1
Feb 21 Rayo Va… v Real Be… 1-1
Feb 15 Rayo Va… v Atlétic… 3-0
Feb 01 Rayo Va… v Real Ma… 2-1
Jan 24 Rayo Va… v Osasuna 1-3
Jan 18 Rayo Va… v Celta d… 3-0
Jan 14 Rayo Va… v Alavés 2-0
Jan 11 Rayo Va… v Mallorca 2-1
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
36%
Market
35%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.