UEFA Europa Conference League · Mar 12, 2026 17:45
Lech Poznan
PWR 35
Shakhtar Donetsk
PWR 35
Lech Poznan
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Shakhtar Donetsk
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Shakhtar Donetsk to win (60% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (31%)0-1 (27%)0-2 (12%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.66x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.62x
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lech Poznan
LLWWW
DOWN
Shakhtar Donet…
WWWWL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Lech Poznanvs
0.86
Shakhtar Donet…Goal Probability
Lech Poznan
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Shakhtar Do…
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (9%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Lech Poznan-5
Gap#6
Shakhtar Do…
WR 67% 10 pts
WR 100% 13 pts
Lech Poznan
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Lech Po… v Widzew … | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Lech Po… v Gornik … | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lech Po… v Raków C… | 4-3 |
| Feb 26 | Lech Po… v KuPS | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Lech Po… v Korona … | 1-2 |
| Feb 19 | Lech Po… v KuPS | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Lech Po… v Piast G… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lech Po… v Gornik … | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Lech Po… v Piast G… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Lech Po… v Lechia … | 1-3 |
Shakhtar Donet…
16.0%
| Mar 06 | Shakhta… v Oleksan… | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Shakhta… v Veres R… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Shakhta… v Karpaty | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Shakhta… v Dinamo … | 7-2 |
| Feb 05 | Shakhta… v Riga FC | 0-1 |
| Dec 18 | Shakhta… v HNK Rij… | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Shakhta… v Epitsen… | 5-0 |
| Dec 11 | Shakhta… v Hamrun … | 0-2 |
| Dec 06 | Shakhta… v Kolos K… | 0-0 |
| Dec 01 | Shakhta… v Hirnyk | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 25, 2024 | Lech Poznan | 1-3 | Shakhtar Done… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
43%
Standings
40%
Market
40%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lech Poznan in strong form (3W in last 5)
Shakhtar Donetsk in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.