Esiliiga A · Jul 13, 2026 16:00
Maardu
PWR 35
Tartu Welco
PWR 35
Maardu
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Tartu Welco
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
75%
75%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Maardu
LLWDW
DOWN
Tartu Welco
LWDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Maarduvs
0.85
Tartu WelcoGoal Probability
Maardu
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Tartu Welco
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-1 (5%)2-3 (5%)1-2 (5%)3-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 6.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Maardu-7
Gap#2
Tartu Welco
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Maardu
10.0%
| Mar 12 | Maardu v Elva | 0-3 |
| Mar 08 | Maardu v Nõmme U… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Maardu v Tallinn… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Maardu v Legion | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Maardu v Kuressa… | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Maardu v Nõmme U… | 3-3 |
| Oct 26 | Maardu v Narva U… | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Maardu v Johvi P… | 2-0 |
| Oct 11 | Maardu v JK Taba… | 2-2 |
| Oct 04 | Maardu v Tartu K… | 2-2 |
Tartu Welco
12.0%
| Mar 10 | Tartu W… v Vaprus | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Tartu W… v Tallinn… | 3-0 |
| Nov 09 | Tartu W… v Flora II | 1-1 |
| Nov 03 | Tartu W… v Luunja | 2-2 |
| Oct 27 | Tartu W… v Elva | 3-2 |
| Oct 23 | Tartu W… v Nõmme K… | 5-2 |
| Oct 19 | Tartu W… v Tallinn… | 1-3 |
| Oct 03 | Tartu W… v Viimsi | 1-4 |
| Sep 27 | Tartu W… v FCI Lev… | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Tartu W… v FC Tall… | 2-2 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.